我国各地区高等教育对经济增长贡献率的测算及分析

Estimation and Analysis of the Contribution of Higher Education to Economic Growth in Each Region of China

采用丹尼森和麦迪逊算法,计算了全国31个省区市2005到2010年间高等教育对经济增长的贡献率,结果显示我国高等教育对GDP年均增长率的贡献是1.60%;贡献率最高的西藏达到了6.25%,贡献率最低的青海只有0.10%;就地区来看,东部地区高等教育对GDP增长的贡献为1.8%,东北地区和中部地区大约都在1%,而西部地区是1.43%。本文认为,目前我国高等教育对经济增长的贡献率与经济发展速度之间不存在显著的相关性,但第三产业所占比重较大的地区,高等教育对经济增长的贡献率较大。

By applying the Denison and Madison algorithm, this paper estimates the contribution rate of higher education to economic growth in China＇ s 31 regions from 2005 to 2010. The results showed that the contribution of China＇ higher education to the average annual growth rate of GDP is 1.60% ; the highest contribution rate from Tibet has reached 6.25%, and the lowest contribution rate from Qinghai is only 0.10%. From the point of area, the contribution of the eastern higher education to the GDP growth rate is 1.8 % ; the contribution of the northeast region and the central region is around 1%, and the contribution of the western area is 1.43%. This paper argues that there is no significant correlation between the contribution of higher education to economic growth rate and the pace of economic development, in regions of a larger proportion of tertiary industry, the contribution of higher education to economic growth rate is greater.