区域物流与经济发展关系的实证研究——以广西为例

The Analysis of Regional Logistics and Development of Economy——Taking the Case of Guangxi

该文利用协整检验、格兰杰因果关系检验以及脉冲响应函数来分析区域物流与广西经济发展的关系。检验结果表明:(1)区域物流与广西的经济发展具有长期的均衡关系,并且区域物流发展与广西经济增长之间存在较强的正向相关性;(2)通过格兰杰因果关系检验发现,现代物流的发展与广西的经济发展存在互为因果的关系,但在短期内广西经济发展与区域物流发展之间的关系处于不稳定。

By means of cointegration test, Granger causality test and impulse response function, this paper analyzes the relationship between regional logistics and economic development in Guangxi. The results show that： （1） there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between regional logistics and economic development in Guangxi and there is a strong positive correlation between regional logistics development and economic growth in Guangxi; （2） according to Granger causality test results, there is a mutually causal relationship between the development of modem logistics and Guangxi＇ s economic development but the relationship between the Guangxi＇ s economic development and regional logistics development, in the short term, is in an unstable trend.