摘要
为了明确能源消费与经济增长之间的关系,利用1985~2010年的数据对江苏省能源消费和GDP进行了序列的平稳性检验、协整检验、Granger因果关系检验,并在此基础上建立了误差修正模型。结果表明,江苏省存在着从GDP到能源消费的单向因果关系,可以通过实施节能政策、调整产业结构、大力开发可再生能源与新能源等来实现能源消费与经济增长的均衡增长。
In order to make clear the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth, using data during 1985-2010, the stationa- ry test, cointegration test, Granger causality test for the sequency of energy consumption and GDP were conducted. The results showed that there is unidirectional causality from GDP to energy consumption in Jiangsu, and it can achieve a balanced growth of energy consumption and economic growth by carrying out the energy policy, adjusting the industrial structure, and vigorously developing the renewable energy and new energy, etc.
出处
《安徽农业科学》
CAS
2013年第9期4103-4105,4108,共4页
Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences
关键词
能源消费
经济增长
误差修正模型
江苏省
Energy consumption
Economic growth
Error correction model
Jiangsu Province