摘要
本文将马尔可夫链引入到经济学中 ,通过建立产品的状态转移概率矩阵 ,利用马尔可夫链进行分析和计算 ,给出产品的市场预测、利润预测及风险决策的数学模型 ,从而给经济预测提供切实可靠的理论依据。
In this article,Markov chain is introduced into economy.By constructing state transition probability matrix of products, analysising and computing with Markov chain,a mathematical model of market forecast. profit forcast and risked decision making is given, which affords us dependable theoretical basis to economic forecast and makes economic forecast more scientific,more accurate.
出处
《陕西经贸学院学报》
2000年第4期97-99,共3页
Journal of Shaanxi Economics and Trade Institute
关键词
马尔可夫链
齐次马尔可夫链
经济预测
应用
Mardov chain
homogeneous Markov chaim
transition probability matrix
expected profit
