Delphi法在编制浙江省结核病防治核心信息的应用研究

The Application of the Delphi Method in Developing the Core Information on Tuberculosis Prevention in Zhejiang Province

目的研究编制适合浙江省结核病防治需要的核心信息。方法采用Delphi法对20名咨询专家进行两轮咨询调查,听取专家的意见和建议,拟定浙江省结核病防治核心信息。结果咨询专家平均年龄(48.20±6.30)岁,95.00%的专家具有高级职称,平均工作年限(24.95±7.62)年;两轮问卷回收率均为100.00%;专家的权威系数为0.790;两轮专家咨询后,专家一致性系数为0.416(P<0.01)。结论专家代表性强,积极性高,权威程度和协调性较好,能较好地选择适宜浙江省结核病防治需要的核心信息。

Objective To develop the core information on tuberculosis prevention in Zhejiang Province. Methods Two rounds of Delphi consultation were conducted for 20 experts, and experts opinions and recommendations were adopted and the core information on Tuberculosis Prevention of Zhejiang Province were drawn up. Results Of 20 experts, the mean age was 48.20 ±6.30 ; 95.00% of those experts had high professional titles and the mean working years in their own areas was 24.95 ±7.62 ; The response rates of questionnaires in the two - round consultation were both 100.00% ; The average coefficient of specialists authority was 0. 790; After the two - round consultation, the Kendalf＇s concordance coefficient was0.416（P 〈0. 01 ）. Conclusion The representativeness, enthusiasm, authority and harmony of experts arc quite well, the core information on tuberculosis prevention can be developed initially in Zhejiang Province.