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Sensitivity analysis of key input parameters in conditional cell transmission model for oversaturated arterials 被引量:2

Sensitivity analysis of key input parameters in conditional cell transmission model for oversaturated arterials
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摘要 A novel conditional cell transmission model (CCTM) is a potential simulation tool because it accommodates all traffic conditions from light condition to oversaturated condition.To test the performance of the CCTM,a series of experiments for sensitivity analysis were designed and performed for a multilane,two-way,three-signal sample network.Experiment 1 shows that the model is performed in a logical and expected manner with variations in traffic demand with time and direction.Experiment 2 shows when the possibility of the occurrence of a useful gap increases to 60% and 100%,the delays in left turns decrease by 5% and 15%,respectively.In Experiment 3,comparing the possibility of a conditional cell of 0 with 100%,delay of left turn and delay of the entire network were underestimated by 58% and 11%,respectively.Hence,sensitivity analysis demonstrates that by reflecting local drivers' behaviors properly,the CCTM provides an accurate representation of traffic flow in simulating oversaturated traffic conditions. A novel conditional cell transmission model (CCTM) is a potential simulation tool because it accommodates all traffic conditions from light condition to oversaturated condition. To test the performance of the CCTM, a series of experiments for sensitivity analysis were designed and performed for a multilane, two-way, three-signal sample network. Experiment 1 shows that the model is performed in a logical and expected manner with variations in traffic demand with time and direction. Experiment 2 shows when the possibility of the occurrence of a useful gap increases to 60% and 100%, the delays in left rams decrease by 5% and 15%, respectively. In Experiment 3, comparing the possibility of a conditional cell of 0 with 100%, delay of left turn and delay of the entire network were underestimated by 58% and 11%, respectively. Hence, sensitivity analysis demonstrates that by reflecting local drivers' behaviors properly, the CCTM provides an accurate representation of traffic flow in simulating oversaturated traffic conditions.
出处 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第6期1772-1780,共9页 中南大学学报(英文版)
基金 Project(51108343)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China Project(06121)supported by University of Transportation Center for Alabama,USA
关键词 敏感性分析 传输模型 过饱和 输入参数 主干道 实验设计 细胞 灵敏度分析 oversaturation conditional cell transmission model sensitivity analysis delay possibility
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