摘要
2013年前4 个月国内小麦价格以稳为主。2013 年春节过后,在市场粮源有限和制粉企业需求疲弱的双重影响下,小麦市场连续 3 个月保持弱势平衡状态,较高的政策性小麦投放力度保证了市场供给和价格稳定。在新季小麦上市前,预计市场供需格局不会发生根本改变。后期小麦价格一方面取决于新季小麦产量,另一方面也要受到政策取向的显著影响。在综合分析小麦市场基本面和政策面各影响因素的基础上,对后期小麦市场进行展望,认为 2013年中国小麦价格将以温和上涨走势为主。
Abstract： Domestic wheat price maintained steady in the first four months of 2013. After 2013 Spring Festival, the wheat market remained weak balance for 3 months under the dual effect of limited grain market source and weak demand of flour manufacturers. More policy-oriented wheat was put into the market to ensure the stability of wheat supply and price. Before new-season wheat coming into market, the supply-demand structure is predicted to have no radical change. The late wheat price depends partly on the yield of new-season wheat and partly on the appreciable impact of policy preference. This essay looks into late wheat market, based on comprehensive analysis on influencing factors of wheat market fundamental plane and policy surface, and considers that the wheat price will maintain moderate ri^in~, tr^nrl ;n 9t31
出处
《农业展望》
2013年第5期4-8,12,共6页
Agricultural Outlook
关键词
小麦市场
供需结构
托市收购
进口
作物状况
wheat market
supply-demand structure
purchase under holding the market plan
import
crop condition
