资源环境税对交通运输碳排放强度调节效应的实证研究

An Empirical Study of Energy/Emission Tax Effect on Transport Carbon Intensity in China

在分析能源价格等因素对交通运输碳排放强度影响机制的基础上,设置了10个相关研究假设,并采用1988～2010年时序数据和层级回归方法对其进行检验,研究能源价格对交通运输碳排放的直接和间接影响。研究结果表明,1988～2010年我国能源价格的变化未对交通运输碳排放强度产生显著的直接和间接影响。建议政府综合采用多种政策手段,从促进交通运输结构优化和技术进步角度入手,通过交通需求管理和行为引导达到建设低碳交通系统的目的。

This paper, based on the analysis of impact mechanism of energy price and other factors affect on transportation carbon emission, analyzes the direct and indirect effect that energy price mad on transportation carbon intensityusing time series over the periods 1988 -2010. The result shows that energy price made little impact on transportation carbon intensity reduction. Strategies based on transport demand management were recommended.