家庭劳动力配置、承包耕地数量与中国农民的土地处置——基于CGSS2010的实证分析

Labors Allocation of Household,Household Land Holdings and the Ways of Land Disposition in Rural China——An Analysis Based on CGSS 2010

利用Multinomial Logistic模型,考察了农村家庭劳动力配置、家庭承包土地数量与中国农民土地处置方式之间的关联。研究发现:家庭劳动力配置是影响农户土地处置方式选择的关键性因素,务农劳动力数量越多农户越倾向于自我耕种田地,外出务工劳动力数量越多,农户土地流转和耕地撂荒的倾向就更高。家庭从集体承包土地数量对于农户土地处置方式选择的影响是微弱的或不显著的,就自我耕种与闲置相比,从集体承包土地数量越多,农户越倾向于自我耕种田地,但影响较弱;就自我耕种与转出相比,从集体承包土地数量没有显著性的影响。

The paper is mainly exploring the correlation between labors allocation of household, household land holdings and the ways of land disposition in rural household. Multinomial logistic model were adopted to examine the correlation between labors allocation of household, household land holdings and the ways of land disposition in rural household. The result shows that： labors allocation of household is the critical factor for choice of rural household＇ s land disposal. The more the labors work in non-agricultural industry, the higher propensity of self-cultivated; the more the number of city-worker, the higher propensity of out-transfer land as well as land abandoning. The effect of scale of household land holdings is weak. Compared land transfer with self-cultivated land, the more the household land holdings, the less likely the land transfer; but compared land abandoning with self cultivated, scale of household land holding do not have a clear effect.