对产业生态理论基本假设的国别检验

An Empirical Test on the Industrial Ecology Theory with the Perspective of Country

在本文中,笔者利用PWT 7.1所提供的1950～2010年间189个国家和地区的人口数量、GDP总量和人均GDP数据,对它们的变化是否能够拟合生态理论中的种群增长模型进行经验检验。检验结果显示:上述三个变量与Logistic增长模型均有较好拟合,因此,本文的检验结果并不能对产业生态理论这一基本假设进行证伪。

In the article, an empirical test is conducted to the Industrial Ecology Population Growth Model with the data of total population, total GDP and GDP per capita, which is taken from the PWT7. 1 and covered 189 counties between the year of 1950 and 2010. The empirical tests show that the changes of all these three variables can fit the Logistic model well, therefore the falsification to the basic hypothesis of Industrial Ecology Theory cannot be conducted in this article.