人群接种肾综合征出血热灭活疫苗控制发病效果的估算

Evaluation on Incidence Control of Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome in People Received Hantaan Virus Vaccine

目的 :估算人群接种HFRS灭活疫苗的防病效果。方法 :利用决策树估算低收入人群和高收入人群不同方式接种HFRS疫苗对人群防病效果的影响。结果 :低收入人群是HFRS发病的高危人群 ;加之疫苗接种率低 ,导致发病控制效果下降。结论 :人群接种率达 80 %以上 ,尤其是增加低收入人群接种率 ,可有效地降低人群发病。

Objective: Evaluation on incidence control of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in people received Hantaan virus vaccine. Methods:Decision tree was analyzed and computed incidence control of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in people received Hantaan virus vaccine when vaccine cover rates were different between the low income and high income people.Results: The low income people were in high risk of HFRS and these received the low vaccine cover rate of Hantaan virus vaccine could decrease incidence control of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in the epidemic stricken area.Conclusion: Incidence control of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome was effective and economic when the vaccine cover rate of people could be 80% at least, and more increasing the vaccine cover rate in the low income people.