基于系统动力学的可持续电力发展模型

The Model of Electric Power Sustainable Development Based on System Dynamics

通过分析可持续发展的思想 ,根据我国电力工业的实际情况 ,可持续电力发展研究应以电力与经济、社会、发电能源结构、环境等协调发展为内容进行深入调查、分析、研究。应用系统动力学方法建立了可持续电力发展的系统动力学模型 ,该模型包括电力与经济社会、电力与发电能源结构、电力与环境 3个子模型。

By analysing development thought and according to the fact of the electric power industry in China,the study of electric power sustainable development should be based on the coordinating development in the electric power, economics, society, energy and environment. Then ,make a deep investigation and analyses. The model of electric power sustainable development is established by using the theory of system dynamics. The model contains three sub-models that are electric power and economic society model, electric power and energy model,electric power and environment model. The systemic principle for the evaluative indices of electric power sustainable development are briefly introduced and the technical indices are given.