适龄人口下降背景下的新建高职院校规模预测

Scale Prediction on the New Vocational Colleges in the Background of the School-age Population Declining

阐述了新建高职院校规模预测的背景和预测技术路线,建立了高职院校规模预测线性回归数学模型并以新乡某高职院校为例,对适龄人口下降背景下新建高职院校在校生规模进行了科学分析和预测,并在此基础上,提出了新建高职院校教育事业发展的对应策略。

Taking one vocational college in Xinxiang as an example, the paper discusses the background of school scale predication and technical methods and mathematical model is made for vocational colleges＇ scale. Scientific analysis and forecast is made about the new vocational colleges in the background of school - age population decreases in the students scale. On this basis, the education development strategies of new vocational colleges are pointed out.