灰色情景法在智能交通技术发展规划中的应用

The application of gray scenario method in the development planning of intelligent transpootation technology

文章以智能交通的技术发展规划为研究主题,选择ATIS为研究对象,运用情景分析,结合改良灰色统计法来选择该系统需优先发展的相关技术。通过构建情境、分析样本资料,从多个备选方案中确定了需优先发展的技术,其研究成果可用于国内在智能交通技术规划的参考。

Taking the technology planning of intelligent transportation systems as the theme, selecting Advanced Traveler Information Systems （ATIS）as study object, and combined the scenario analysis with the improved gray statistical method,this paper determines the correlation technologies prior to develop.By constructing scenarios and analysing data, it has identified what we need from multiple op- tions. The results can provide references for relevant technology planning problems of advanced transportation technology in feature.