开放条件下中国国民收入增长核算及效率研究

RESEARCH ON THE GROWTH AND EFFICIENCY OF CHINESE NATIONAL INCOME UNDER OPEN CIRCUMSTANCE

本文通过指数核算方法研究了20世纪80年代以来中国国民收入增长的源泉,并对金砖国家的情况进行了比较。研究发现新世纪以来贸易条件的持续恶化导致中国国民收入年均增速降低约1个百分点,资本积累和全要素生产率是推动中国国民收入增长的最主要动力。而从金砖国家整体来看,多数国家国民收入增长主要依靠要素投入,持续增长潜力不足。

Based on economic index theory, this paper conducted the growth accounting of Chinese na- tional income and the comparison among some BRICS countries. This paper found that capital accumula- tion and TFP progress had heen the most important driving forces of Chinese real GDI growth, but the de- terioration of terms of trade had reduced the annual GDI growth rate by one percentage point since 2000. Most BRICS countries attributed their rapid growth to factors inputs, and the foundations for sustainable growth were not quite solid.