国家经济安全的外部风险与防范

On the External Risks of National Economic Security and Their Prevention

冷战结束后 ,中国经济最紧迫的课题即加强外部风险防范 ,对各种涉及到国家安全的外部风险进行有效监测 ,并形成预警机制。国家经济安全的外延扩展 ,其与国家利益的依存度增大 ,则经济安全系数愈低。经济风险与经济安全成反比关系。国家经济安全的风险链效应 ,综合表现为“钟摆效应” ;其博弈游戏性质揭示着参与国际分工愈深 ,不安全性就愈强。外部经济风险的逃逸与聚敛现象作用于国家经济安全与稳定。对其防范的关键是进行风险识别与评估 ,构建国家经济安全总体战略。

After the Cold War, the most urgent task for Chinese economy is to strengthen the prevention of external risks by effectively monitoring external risks that concern national security. thus forming a pre-warning mechanism. As an extension of national economic security, the more its dependence on national interests, the lower its security index. The economic risks are inversely proportional to economic security. The chain effect of national economic security is analogous to the “pendulum effect'. Its game characteristics reveals that the greater the international division of labor, the worse its insecurity. The escape and accumulation of external economic risks affects national economic security and stability. The key to its prevention lies in the risk identification and assessment and the construction of an overall strategy for national economic security.