天津市物流业投入产出效应分析

Input-output Effect Analysis of Logistics Industry in Tianjin

重点说明物流业是经济发展的支柱产业,对天津社会经济的发展具有重要的推动作用。首先基于投入产出基本流量表,整合出包括物流业在内的四大部门投入产出表;其次计算直接消耗系数、完全消耗系数、影响力系数、感应度系数、生产诱发系数,分析天津市物流业的产业关联特征及波及效果;最后通过对天津市物流业进行投入产出系数的纵向和横向比较分析,得出天津市物流业对国民经济的发展具有显著的促进作用。

In this paper, we first obtained the input-output charts of the four major economic departments, logistics industry included, of Tianjin using the basic input-output flowchart, then after calculating the direct consumption coefficient, total consumption coefficient, influence coefficient, perception coefficient, and production-inducing coefficient, analyzed the industrial correlational characteristics and spillover effect of the logistics industry of Tianjin, and at the end, through a vertical and lateral comparison of the input-output coefficient of the logistics industry of Tianjin, demonstrated the significant promotive effect of the industry on the economic development of the city.