向量自回归模型下的中国国际贸易与物流发展计量回归分析

An Econometric Regression Analysis of International Trade and Logistics Development in China

就中国国际贸易发展是否与中国国内物流发展存在相关性的问题,从基础调研入手展开分析。通过将基础调研获得的基础数据进行宏观分析,明确了二者之间存在的潜在关系。随后利用计量经济分析方法,展开基于二者的向量自回归分析研究。通过对确定的二者间动态关系的深入分析,为中国物流业的深入发展提出了对策建议。

In this paper we investigated whether there existed correlation between the development of international trade and domestic logistics in China, then starting fi,om fundamental survey and through a macroscopic analysis on the data collected, we cla6fied the potential relationship between the two, then using econometric analysis methods, carried out a VAR analysis of the two and finally studied in depth the dynamic relationship between the two.