文化非正式制度有利于经济低碳转型吗?——地方政府竞争视角下的门限回归分析

Are Informal Culture Institutions Good for Low-carbon Economic Transformation in China? A Threshold Regression Analysis from a Perspective of Competition between Local Governments

文章在对碳排放驱动因素模型进行扩展的基础上,根据中国1999-2010年的省际面板数据,采用面板门限估计法考察了地方政府竞争视角下文化非正式制度对碳排放的非线性影响。研究发现:文化非正式制度的增强通过低碳消费、低碳技术及低碳规制三种渠道而有利于经济低碳转型,但地方政府竞争视角下文化非正式制度对碳排放的影响存在经济发展水平门限和人力资本水平门限,只有同时跨越两者特定的门限值才能实现通过文化非正式制度来促进经济低碳转型的目标。文章的研究结论为文化体制改革背景下中国经济低碳转型的制度设计提供了一定的政策启示。

Based on the extension of a model concerning the driving factors of carbon emission, this paper employs panel threshold regression to study the non- linear effect of informal culture institutions on carbon emission from a perspective of competition between local governments by the provincial panel data in China from 1999 to 2010. It comes to the conclusions as follows： the reinforcement of informal culture institutions is conducive to low-carbon economic transformation in China through low carbon consumption, low carbon technology and low carbon regulation, but there exist threshold effects of economic development level and hu- man capital level with regard to the effects of informal culture institutions on car- bon emission from the perspective of competition between local governments; the promotion of low-carbon economic transformation through informal culture institu- tions can be achieved only by simultaneously reaching the specific threshold values of economic development level and human capital level. The conclusions provide some policy implication for the institutional design of low-carbon economic trans- formation in China under the background of the reform of culture system.