摘要
采用LMDI法建立中国人均碳排放量的因素分解模型,基于1991～2008年数据分析了经济发展、能源结构和能源效率等因素的变化所引起的碳排放量变动趋势。结果显示:经济发展与人均碳排放量成正比关系,与能源结构和能源效率成反比关系,且这两个因素与人均碳排放量呈倒U型曲线关系。这说明经济发展的促进作用大于能源效率和能源结构的抑制作用,碳排放量仍在增加。因此,我国应该积极采取措施提高能源效率,改善能源结构,尤其要提升经济发展质量。
Based on the method of LMDI, this article establishes the factors decomposition model of China＇s per capita carbon emission. By using samples from 1991 to 2008, it analyzes the changes in carbon emissions caused by changes of economic development, energy structure and energy efficiency and other factors. The results show that economic development is proportional to per capita carbon emission, while it is inversely related to energy structure and energy efficiency, which both have an inverted U-curve relationship with per capita carbon emission. This shows that the positive effect of economic development is greater than the inhibitory effect of energy efficiency and energy structure, so carbon emissions are still increasing. Hence, China should carry out effective measures like improving energy efficiency and structure so as to promote economic development.
出处
《生态经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第7期43-46,50,共5页
Ecological Economy
基金
2012年度国家社会科学基金青年项目"煤矿动态安全预警与关联管理问题研究"(12CGL101)
2012年度河南省科技厅软科学研究计划项目"河南高新技术产业发展环境研究"(122400440021)
2012年度河南省科技厅软科学研究计划项目"产业安全视阈下的河南省外贸产业发展研究"(122400440018)的阶段性成果
关键词
碳排放
影响因素
能源结构
措施
carbon emission
influencing factors
energy structure
measures
