基于熵权的交通—经济协调发展与预警研究

Coordination development and early warning model of transportation economy based on entropy weigh

通过构建交通和经济发展水平评价的指标体系,运用熵权法计算综合得分,得出交通—经济协调度模型。以黄冈市为例,计算得出过去五年两个系统之间都是处在相对协调的发展状态,这与该地区投资比例是不相称的。通过预警模型预测该地区未来两年交通—经济系统的协调发展度如果按照现在的趋势并不会有太大的改善,仍然没有达到真正协调发展的状态。

Through establishing the level evaluation index system of transportation and economic development,we obtain the total score with the method of entropy and the traffice-conomy coordination degree model.Taking Huanggang city as an example,we get the result that the development of traffic and economy is relatively coordinative in the past five years,which is not commensurate with the situation of investment in the region.Through the early warning model,we forecast the future traffic and economy system in the next two years.The result shows that the coordinated development degree in Huanggang will not be improved very much according to current trend can not achieve the coordinative development expected.