基于人的认知失误分析模型的跑道侵入风险评估研究

Study of Runway Incursion Risk Evaluation Based on Human Cognitive Error

本文主要对导致跑道侵入的人为因素进行研究分析,运用认知可靠性与失误分析法(CREAM)的认知模型建立跑道侵入风险评估模型,并以南苑机场为实例验证该模型的可靠性,计算出来的南苑机场发生跑道侵入事件的风险值较为合理,结果表明运用人的可靠性分析模型对跑道侵入的风险进行评估具有实用价值。

This paper mainly analyses the human factors of runway incursion, using the cognitive model of cognitive reliability and error analysis method （CREAM） to establish the risk evaluation model of runway incursion. Nanyuan Airport has been chosen as an example to verify the reliability of the model, and the computeel risk value of runway incursion at Nanyuan airport is reasonable. The result shows that use of human reliability analysis models for runway incursion risk evaluation has practical value.