安徽金融发展与经济增长关系的实证研究

An Empirical Study of the Relationship Between Financial Development and Economic Growth in Anhui Province

我国金融发展与经济增长之间表现出显著的区域性特征,文章对1996～2010年安徽金融和经济发展相关指标运用协整检验、格兰杰因果检验等方法,考察安徽金融发展与经济增长之间的关系。结果表明:安徽金融发展与经济增长之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系;金融发展促进经济增长,而经济增长带动金融发展不显著,两者之间存在单向因果关系。同时为安徽金融发展与经济增长良性互动提供相关对策建议。

In China, the relationship between financial uevc,ue ferent regions. To explore the relationship between financial development and economic growth in An- hui Province, an empirical study on the related data of Anhui Province in 1996--2010 was carried out based on the cointegration test and Granger causality test. The results show that there is a long-run stable equilibrium relationship between the financial development and economic growth in Anhui Prov- ince; and an one-waY causal reiationship exists between them, namely the financial development sig- nificantly promotes the economic growth but not in the inverse process. Relevant suggestions are also provided for the positive interaction between the financial development and economic growth in Anhui province.