政策议程设置的分析框架探索——兼论本轮国务院机构改革的动因

An Exploration of Analytical Framework of Agenda Setting and an Explanation of Institutional Reform of the State Council

议程设置是开启政策周期的关键环节,决定着哪些政策议题能够进入决策视野。本文以多源流理论为基础,结合我国的现实国情,构建适用于解释我国政策议程设置的分析框架:"执政党的政治取向"、"允许表达的社会问题"和"具有相容性的备选方案"是影响议程设置的三种源流,三源流交汇将打开政策窗口,使议题进入决策议程。作为框架的应用,本文从源流汇合的角度解释了本轮国务院机构改革的动因,认为改革是综合政治需求、社会现实和政策可行性等因素的结果,是三种源流成熟和结合的产物,符合政策过程发展的科学规律。

Agenda setting is the key stage to start a policy cycle and determines which issues can attract decision mal^ers. I ms article builds an analytical framework of agenda setting based on both multi-- stream theory and Chinese realities： namely,＂political orientation of the ruling party＂, ＂social problems allowed to report＂ and ＂acceptable alternative pro- posals＂ are the main streams that affect agenda setting and the combination of three streams can open a policy window and agenda setting stage. As an application this article explains the reasons of this round institutional reform of the State Council, and argues that this reform is the comprehensive result of political needs, social reality and policy feasi- bility, and also the product of the combination of three streams, so it conforms the scientific principle of policy devel- opment.