无锡经济增长与产业结构的实证分析——基于灰色关联模型

Empirical Analysis of Industrial Structure and Economic Growth of Wuxi City——Based on Grey Correlation Model

无锡是中国东部经济重镇,在中国经济发展中起着重要作用。运用灰色关联模型分别计算无锡2006-2011年间GDP与三次产业关联度以及三次产业与其内部行业关联度。结果表明:第二产业与GDP的关联度最大,第三产业次之,第一产业最小。对三次产业拉动作用较大的分别是,一产:农业、渔业;二产:工业;三产:批发与零售业,租赁和商务服务业,住宿和餐饮业,房地产业,金融业,信息传输、计算机服务和软件业。根据结果分析,要加快无锡经济增长,必须实现产业转型升级,促进产业结构高效化、高新化、高端化。

Wuxi is a crucial economical city of eastern China,playing an important role in the development of China’s economy.Based on grey correlation model,correlation between three industries and GDP,three industries and their internal industries in Wuxi during 2006-2011 is analyzed.The result shows that the secondary industry has the highest correlation with Wuxi’s GDP,tertiary industry with second place.Roles of the three industries pull are that farming and fishing play an essential role in the primary industry;industry promotes the rapid development of the secondary industry;wholesale and retail,hiring and commercial services,catering trade,real estate,banking,information transmission,computer and software services are the pillar of the the tertiary industry.According to the results,to speed up the economic growth in Wuxi,it is necessary to implement industrial transformation and upgrading,promote industrial structure high-efficient,high-tech and high-end.