非常规突发事件干预决策机制的效用评估

Utility Evaluation for Decision-Making Mechanism of Unconventional Emergency

非常规突发事件应对工作是一项涉及面广、技术性强、社会影响大的系统工程,建立非常规突发事件应对的干预决策机制具有极其重要的意义。本文就干预决策机制的效用进行研讨,构建了基于时间序列相似性度量的协调度函数,提出了效用评估的整体思路和实施方案,为优化我国非常规突发事件应对管理提供有价值的参考。

Unconventional emergency response is a systems engineering concerning many aspects, which is a strong technical work with considerable social influence. Establishment of decision-making mechanism for unconventional emergency response is of great significance. This paper put more attention to the effectiveness of decision-making mechanism, builds the coordination degree function based on Multivariate time series similarity measure, and then puts forward the overall idea and implementation scheme for utility evaluation, which could provide valuable reference to optimize the unconventional emergency response.