陕西省碳排放与经济增长脱钩分析

Decoupling analysis of carbon emissions and economic growth in Shaanxi province

为探究碳排放与经济增长的脱钩关系,以陕西省为研究对象,运用LYQ分析框架对2001～2010年间陕西碳排放与经济增长之间脱钩弹性进行因果链分解并进行指标测评,结果显示,陕西省大部分年份碳排放与经济增长呈现弱脱钩的状态,碳排放的增长速度小于地区GDP的增长速度。研究认为,能源利用效率的提高对碳排放增长速度的减缓起到了主要作用,而价值创造弹性是阻碍脱钩的主要因素,因此,陕西省要发展低碳经济,需要在优化产业结构、大力发展低耗能高附加值的产业上继续努力。

The paper studies carbon emissions of Shaanxi province. The LYQ framework is used in this paper to analyzes the relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth of Shaanxi province from 2001 to 2010. The result showed that most years, in Shaanxi province, economic growth and carbon emissions has a weak decoupled state, and the carbon emissions growth speed is less than the regional GDP growth rate. Higher energy efficiency played a major role to slow the growth speed of carbon emissions ; and the value creation elasticity is the main factor to hinder decoupling. So, in the future, Shaanxi province wants to develop low-carbon economy should be optimized industrial structure and efforts to develop low-energy high-value-added industry.