西安市终南山北麓旅游业发展的实证研究

Empirical Study on Tourism Development in Northern Foot of Zhongnan Mountain in Xi'an City

在西安市建立国际化大都市的背景下,西安市经济发展水平迅速提高,尤其是旅游业的发展跨越到一个新时期,作为处于西安市旅游业核心地位的终南山北麓旅游业的发展更是备受人们关注。本文从实证分析角度,运用协整分析方法研究西安市终南山北麓旅游经济的发展与西安市经济发展之间的长期关系,建立误差修正模型研究两者之间的短期关系;并对影响西安市终南山北麓旅游业发展的因素进行深入分析,最终提出一些可行性建议。

In the context of establishing the Xi＇an international metropolis, economic development level in Xi＇an city increased rapidly, especially the development of the tourism industry which has across to a new period of development. The tourism development in northern foot of Zhongnan Mountain as the core tourism of Xi＇an City has attracted much attention from people. From the perspective of empirical study, the paper studies the long-term relationship between the tourism economy development of northern foot of Zhongnan Mountain in Xi＇an City and Xi＇an economic development by using co-integration analysis, and the short-rnn relationship between the two by establishing error correction model, and makes in-depth analysis on the influencing factors of Zhongnan Mountain tourism development in Xi＇an City, finally puts forward some feasible suggestion.