中国对外国际物流贸易趋势分析与研究

Analysis of Trend of International Logistics and Trade of China

采用整体分析与模型分析相结合的方式完成中国对外国际物流贸易趋势分析工作。整体分析采用表格分析和曲线分析的方式完成,针对整体分析存在定量分析不足的问题,采用计量分析方法,对中国对外国际贸易物流展开模型化分析。通过建立两个计量模型,最终定量确定了中国对外国际物流贸易趋势之所在。同时,基于整体分析和计量分析的结果,从宏观角度出发,为中国物流企业如何面对今后的国际物流竞争提出了富有针对性的具体对策和建议。

In this paper, combining general analysis and model analysis, we analyzed the trend of the international logistics and trade of China. Then through the establishment of two econometric models we determined quantitatively the trend for the development of international logistics and trade in China. At the same time in view of the result, we proposed suggestions for the Chinese logistics enterprises to better face international competition.