城乡差距对经济社会稳定影响的实证分析

Empirical Analysis on the Urban-rural Gap Influencing Economic and Social Stability

城乡差距扩大是导致社会经济发展不稳定的重要因素。笔者在搜集1990年～2010年数据的基础上,建立了一个衡量城乡差距影响社会总稳定的评价指标体系,并采取主成分分析方法估算了城乡差距对稳定影响的程度。结果表明,城乡差距对稳定的影响总体而言是较为明显的。具体来说,城乡差距对社会稳定和家庭稳定影响显著,但对经济稳定影响不太明显。因此,要维护经济社会的长治久安,加快收入分配体制改革,防止城乡差距进一步扩大就显得十分必要和紧迫。

The enlargement of the Urban-rural gap is an important factor to lead to the unstable socioeconomic development. This paper measures the urban-rural income inequality affecting the total social stability by building an index system, containing three indicators with principal component analysis of 1990 -2010 data. The research shows that it is obvious that the urban-rural income gap influence the stability with a significant effect on the stability of family and society, and no apparent influence on economic stability. Therefore, it is very necessary and urgent to maintain the economic and social long-term stability, speed up the reform of the income distribution system, prevent the increasing income gap.