基于能源投入产出分析的节能减排政策研究

The Study of Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction Polices Based on Energy Input-Output Analysis

根据2002年和2007年中国42部门投入产出表分别编制了两张包括能源部门、非能源部门、静脉产业等部门在内的8部门投入产出表,测算了2002和2007年中国能源部门的影响力和感应度系数、直接消耗系数和完全消耗系数,以及能源部门、静脉产业对国民经济各部门的直接和完全波及效应。研究表明:能源部门是中国国民经济中的主导产业,燃气、电力热力生产供应业等"两高一资"行业是能源直接消耗的大户,而静脉产业的发展则相对落后。提出了限制"两高一资"产品的出口、调整产业结构、鼓励"静脉产业"发展,以及依靠行政手段实现节能减排目标等政策建议。

By using China’s input-output tables of 42-sectors in the years 2002 and 2007,this paper has compiled two 8-sectors input-output tables,which include energy sector,non-energy sector,venous industry,agriculture,architecture,transportation and telecommunication industry,business and catering industry,and non-physical sector.Making use of the four input-output tables,it has calculated the influence coefficient,sensitivity coefficient,direct consumption coefficient,complete consumption coefficient of energy sector,and the energy sector’s direct and complete Spread effect on the other industries in the national economy.Based on these data this paper has discussed the present energy conservation and emission reduction polices of China.What ’s more,this paper has proposed some suggestions to deepen the energy conservation and emission reduction work according to Chinese energy using structure and industry characteristics.