主动反倾销的生产率促进效应:中国证据及其解释

Antidumping Promotes Productivity:Chinese Evidence and Explanation

在对Zigic(2000)的南北贸易模型改进并从理论上分析主动反倾销生产率效应之后,本文利用1998-2009年分行业企业加总面板数据,对生产率进行了分解并实证估计了中国主动反倾销的生产率救济作用。实证结果发现:中国主动发起的反倾销贸易救济措施对行业整体的生产率激励效应显著。对生产率分解的进一步分析揭示了反倾销促进中国生产率提高的机制主要是通过技术效率的提升来实现的,而技术效率的提高又是通过纯技术效率的提升完成的。这些结论与现有文献中关于发达国家主动反倾销会降低其国内企业生产率的结果不同,我们从多方面对中国背景下的结果给出了合理的理论解释,并揭示了反倾销促进生产率提高的机制。

After theoretically analyzing initiative antidumping＇s succoring effect on productivity and improving Zigic＇s （2000）north-south trade model, this paper use firms＇ summed industry panel data from 1998 to 2009 to test productivity effects of China＇s initiative antidumping measures via dynamic panel GMM method. The results reveal that antidumping measures significantly improve industrial productivity. Further analysis by productivity decomposition reveals that antidumping promotes China＇s productivity by means of improving technological efficiency, which in turn is driven by upgrade of pure technological efficiency. Our conclusions differ from those drawn by developed countries nowadays that initiative antidumping would decrease domestic productivity Reasonable explanation shave been given for the empirical result from various aspects within China＇s background, which would shed light upon the antidumping＇s productivity-promoting mechanism. We suggest that the government should further construct Chinese antidumping initiation and measuring mechanism, encourage industry upgrade and technology innovation.