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基于存量数据的我国货币供应量季节调整研究

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摘要 文章以存量数据-货币供应量(M0)作为主要研究对象,设计了生成存量数据解释变量的程序化、可操作化过程,并建立了登记日在每个月月末的三段式货币供应量(M0)季节调整模型。运用建立的模型对2012年货币供应量(M0)进行预测,其平均相对误差为2.87%,属于2级精度,适合中长期预测。
出处 《统计与决策》 CSSCI 北大核心 2013年第13期168-171,共4页 Statistics & Decision
基金 广东省教育厅产学研结合项目(2011A090200044)
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