新国民财富与真实储蓄核算探讨

A Study of New National Wealth and Genuine Savings Accounts

"新国民财富"和"真实储蓄"核算把经济发展、社会进步和环境变化紧密联系起来,不仅在总量上也在构成上提供了实施可持续发展战略的重要分析框架和可行政策依据。统计分析表明,真实储蓄对高收入OECD国家的新国民财富的解释力度不高,这些国家的国民财富积累更倚重于人力资本和和社会资本,而不是有形资产的积累。负的无形资本与社会经济现实不符合,对于无形资本的直接测算有赖于深化其经济理论研究并完善社会资本的定义。

New national wealth and genuine savings accounts connect economic development, social progress and environmental change closely, providing a crucial analytical framework and viable policy basis for the implementation of sustainable development strategy in both gross amount and composition. Statistical analyses show that genuine savings are weak in interpreting the new national wealth of high-income OECD countries, whose national wealth accumulation depends more on human and social capital than tangible assets. It is discovered that negative intangible capital is inconsistent with the social economic reality. This study suggests that direct calculation of intangible capital should rely on more exhaustive studies of economic theories and further clarification of the definition of social capital.