基于层次分析法的城市灾害应急管理指标分析

Research on AHP-based Emergency Management Index of Urban disasters

突发事件原生、次生、衍生和耦合灾害,造成城市灾害复杂化和扩大化,给城市应急管理带来重大挑战。基于应急管理体系的层次性、多样性和模糊性特点,分析了我国当前城市应急管理基本要素,运用层次分析法进行综合评价,得出了当前城市灾害应急管理工作重点是制定应急预案、应急管理与协调以及生命线系统恢复三个要素,并提出了相应建议。

Primary, secondary, derivative and coupling disasters caused by an emergency produce complica- tion and expansion of urban disasters and thus pose a major challenge to the city emergency management. Based on the characteristics of the emergency management system as hierarchy, variousness and fuzziness, basic elements of city emergency management in China at present are analyzed. A comprehensive evaluation by AHP is done, and re- sults show that there are 3 key points of urban disaster emergency management currently as building up of a emer- gency response plan, emergency management and coordination, and lifeline system restore. Corresponding suggestions are put forward.