公共政策量化分析的匮乏:成因与对策

The Lack of Quantitative Analysis of Public Policy:Causes and Countermeasures

教育模式功利化的导向效应、政策分析学科发展的滞后效应、公共决策非科学化的昭示效应是导致我国公共政策量化分析匮乏的三个主要原因。将对于技术理性的尊重转化成对于实证主义量化分析方法的偏好,应该成为公共政策分析方法的价值取向之一。调整教育模式与课程结构,紧盯国际学术前沿,优化公共部门政策研究的人员结构,培养公务员利用科学方法进行政策制定的内在需求等,是改变公共政策量化分析匮乏局面的必由之路。

the utilitarian orientation effect of education mode, the hysteresis effect of policy analysis development, and the shows effect of the public decision non--scientific are the three main reasons for the formation of the lack of public policy quantitative analysis in our country. Turn the respect to technical rationality into the preference for the positivist quantitative a- nalysis method should become one of the value orientation of public policy analysis method. Adjusting the education mode and course structure, focusing the forefront of international academic, optimizing the personnel structure of the policy research in public sector, developing the civil servants＂ inner needs during policy making with scientific method and so on are the necessary way for changing the situation of the scarcity of quantitative analysis in public policy.