基于误差绝对值之加权和最小的组合预测模型及其应用

The Combining Forecasting Model on the Condition of the Minimal Sum of the Error Tolerances' Absolute Values and Its Application

介绍了基于误差绝对值之加权和最小的组合预测模型 ,并应用灰色预测法和三次指数平滑预测法两种单项预测法建立上海港集装箱吞吐量的组合预测模型 ,并运用此模型对 2 0 0 0～ 2 0 0

In the thesis,the writer introduces the combining forecasting model on the condition of the minimal sum of the error tolerances' absolute values.By the combination of triple exponential smoothing prediction technique and grey prediction technique,the writer makes up the forecasting model of container throughput in Shanghai Port and forecasts the container throughput of 2000-2001 years.