中国城乡通货膨胀持久性分析

Analysis of Inflation Persistence in Urban and Rural of China

通货膨胀水平以及通货膨胀持久性在不同部门和不同区域之间的差异对货币政策的实施效果有着重要的影响,是央行实施货币政策时必须要考虑的重要因素。我国城乡二元经济结构明显,城乡通货膨胀持久性存在着差异。本文通过经济数理模型和实证分析对中国城乡通货膨胀的持久性进行了分析,结果表明,通货膨胀受到扰动冲击后在农村波动的时间长,在城市波动的时间短。

The Inflation and the difference of the inflation persistence in different departments and regions have a significant effect on the implementation of monetary policy,and they are important factors for Central Bank when it implements monetary policy.In China,there is a significant different economic structure between urban and rural.This paper analyzes the inflation persistence of urban and rural through the mathematical model and Empirical test.The result show that inflation persistence in rural is longer than that in urban.