基于ELES模型的江苏省新型农村合作医疗的需求研究

Study on the New Rural Cooperative Medical Demand in Jiangsu Province Based on Extend Linear Expenditure System Model

目的:定量研究江苏省新型农村合作医疗的需求。方法:运用ELES模型分析2011年"江苏省统计年鉴"和"中国统计年鉴"中截面数据,测算医疗服务的边际消费倾向值、需求收入弹性和需求价格弹性。结果:江苏省农民对于医疗需求倾向较低,而且中等收入以下家庭医疗基本需求支出偏低,在保障农民吃住的前提下,随着收入增加医疗需求量也会增加。结论:应该开展有效的宣传工作,提高新型农村合作医疗的筹资水平,深化医疗体制改革。

Objective： The demand of new rural cooperative medical system in Jiangsu province of the quantitative research is analyzed. Methods： To analyze crnss-sectional data in 2011 statistical yearbook of Jiangsu province and China Statistical yearbook by using Extend Linear Expenditure System （EI,ES） Model. Results： The farmers of Jiangsu for medical need a lower tendency and middle-income households below the expenditure Cm basic medical needs. In the premise of the farmers＇ live, increase the income of medical and the demand will increase too, Conclusion： It needs to carry out effective propaganda work, improve the level of financing of the new rural cooperative medical system, implement the reform of the medical system.