基于偏离-份额分析法的广西工业行业主导产业发展方向选择研究

A Study of Choice of Developing Direction of Leading Industry by Shift Share Method in the Case of Guangxi

工业行业主导产业发展方向选择成为后金融危机阶段需要解决的重要问题.本文采用偏离-份额分析方法并借助SPSS统计软件,对广西2008年和2011年两个时间点工业行业的34个产业方向的份额偏离分量、结构偏离分量和竞争力偏离分量进行分析研究,绘制出偏离-份额分析图,并对工业行业发展提出了建议。

Choice of developing direction of leading industry is an important issue remaining to be resolved in post - financial - crisis era. In this paper,by employing shift share method and SPSS statistical software,we select 29 industry departments at two time points in 2008 and 2011 of Guangxi as analysis objects to make a comprehensive analysis of the quota to deviate weight, structure to deviate weight and competition ability to deviate weight of theses industry departments, and draw Shift -Share analysis diagram ,The indastry development are proposed, and finally propose some suggestions for developing leading industry.