基于仿真实验的弹道导弹阵地优选

Study of Ballistic Missile Position Optimization Based on Simulation

合理部署弹道导弹位置对于提高作战效能具有至关重要的作用。基于解析计算的优化方法难以反映环境因素、武器装备的技术和动力特性等不确定性因素对部署位置的影响,求得的结果存在置信度低的问题。故将解析法与仿真实验相结合,以体系对抗条件下弹道导弹作战效能评估的数学模型为基础,建立了由各种作战实体和行动的模型聚合而成的弹道导弹攻防对抗仿真模型,然后通过仿真实验找出最优部署位置,最后给出了应用示例。实验表明该方法具有速度快、效率高、结果清晰直观的特点,可为指挥员提供科学、快速的决策支持。

Ballistic missiles operational effectiveness is closely related to their deployment location, reasonable deployment location has a crucial role in improving operational efficiency. Optimization method based on the analytical calculation is dif- ficult to reflect the uncertainties of environmental factors, weaponry technology and dynamic characteristics of the deployment location, the results obtained have issues of low confidence. The analysis of simulation experiments combining with analyt- ics, under the condition of system of systems combat missile combat effectiveness evaluation mathematical model as the foun- dation, established by a variety of combat entities and the action model of polymerization of the ballistic missile defense simu- lation model, and then find the optimal solution. In the last of this paper, an application example is given. The experiments show that the method has fast speed, high efficiency, clear and intuitive, can provide the commander with scientific, rapid decision-making support.