规模、结构和技术效应影响碳排放的程度及交互关系——基于1997～2009年省际面板数据的实证分析

Degree and Interaction of Scale Effects,Structural Effects and Technology Effects'Influncing CO_2 Emission——Empirical Analysis Based on China's Provincial Panel Data During 1997-2009

利用1997～2009年的省际面板数据,分别从单因素效应、多因素效应以及它们之间的相互作用三个方面,对以上几种效应的相对重要性进行实证研究。研究发现,(1)当进行独立考察时,各因素对碳排放量都有着显著的影响;而进行综合考察时,规模和技术效应相对重要,而结构效应并不明显;(2)结构效应和技术效应之间存在某种程度的互补关系。

The paper analyzes the influence that economy activates on environment from three aspects： scale, structural and technology effects. The paper employs the provincial panel data during 1997-2009 in China to assess the relative im- portance of the above three effects, both independently and jointly. It is found that： （ 1 ） when examined independently, each determinant matter has obvious influnce on CO2 emission. However, when they are jointly examined, scale effects and technology effects are relatively more important, while the structural effects is less significant; （2） there appears to exist some degree of complementary between structural effects and technology effects.