山东省农村能源消费的碳排放核算与分析

CARBON EMISSION ACCOUNTING AND ANALYSIS OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION IN RURAL AREAS OF SHANDONG PROVINCE

随着工业化、城镇化进程加快和消费结构持续升级,山东省能源需求呈刚性增长,节能减排形势十分严峻。该文利用2000-2007年山东省农村能源消费数据对农村能源消费的碳排放进行了核算,分析了农村能源消费碳排放的局势以及结构,找出在农村能源消费碳排放中占据较大的比重的能源,即电力与原煤。同时发现碳排放总量的逐年递增符合一元线性模型:Y=567.93+132.02×X。最后,提出相应的节能减排举措。

Along with the acceleration of industrialization, urbanization and continuous up- grading of consumption structure, energy demand of Shandong province is in rigid growth and situation of energy-saving and reduction is very grim. Based on the data of rural energy con- sumption from 2000 to 2007, this paper calculated carbon emission in rural areas of Shandong province, analyzed the energy consumption structure and revealed power and coal as the larg- er carbon emission source of rural energy consumption. Meanwhile, total carbon emissions year by year was found to increase with a linear model： Y=567.93＋132.02×X. Finally, a few measures about enerav saving and carbon emission reduction were out forward.