我国水泥工业发展前景分析

Analyses to developing prospect of China's cement industry

我国的人口增长速度和城市化速度近年来开始放缓,但是依然高于印度、越南等发展中国家,水泥需求将有长期的基础。另外我国水泥产量增速和GDP的增速之间有很强的联动关系;我国人均GDP虽然比较低,但是人均水泥产量仅次于阿联酋,单位GDP的水泥产量也只略低于越南,说明我国经济增长高度依赖于基础建设;我国水泥产量结构中低强度等级水泥比重大,不利于有效利用工业固体废弃物。

In recent years, the speed of population growth and urbanization in China begins to slow down, but it is still faster than some developing countries like India and Vietnam, which means that cement requirement in China will be sustainable for a long-term. In other hand, strong corresponding relationship is presented between the growth rate of cement output and GDP. Although GDP per capita in China is not high now, its cement output per capita is only next to UAE and cement output for unit GDP is only slightly lower than Vietnam, which reveals that economy growth in China relies highly on fundamental construction. Cement output in middle and/or low strength grade products in China possesses a high proportion, which is unfavorable to utilize effectively the solid industrial wastes.