中国区域经济增长的动态空间效应——基于贸易开放的视角

Dynamic Spatial Effect of Regional Economic Growth in China:A Trade Openness Perspective

本文构建了1987-2011年中国省际动态空间面板计量模型,研究了贸易开放对中国省际及区域经济增长的动态空间效应。研究发现:中国省际及区域经济增长存在显著的正向空间效应,在控制空间效应后贸易开放度的提高促进了中国省际及区域经济的增长。但是东中西部贸易开放对经济的促进作用因地区经济发展水平、公共基础设施、人力资本、技术水平和劳动力市场完善程度等方面的差异而存在空间异质性。

Dynamic spatial econometrics is a novel research tool to study the spillover effect of trade openness on economic growth. By constructing a 1987-2011 inter-provincial dynamic spatial panel econometric model, this paper ex- amines the dynamic spatial effects of trade openness on regional economic growth in China. The research results show that there is a significant positive spatial effect in China＇ s regional economic growth, the controlling of which works to increase the regional economic growth as trade openness increases. Spatial heterogeneity is found, however, of the effect of trade openness on economy growth due to the differences in regional economic development levels, public infrastructure, human capital, technical ability and labor market conditions among central, western and estem regions of China.