基于线性回归的煤炭资源消费需求因素分析

Analysis of Consumer Demand Factors of Coal Resources Based on Linear Regression

我国是世界煤炭资源大国,在煤炭资源消费上长期居于世界第一位。通过选取一些煤炭能源消费需求因素,运用统计学软件SPSS分析了与能源消耗标准煤有关的因素,并对其做了相应的修正,根据线性回归分析得知:在煤炭的消耗中,交通运输和工业比经济发展水平、收入水平、产业发展、人民生活水平提高、能源转换技术等因素都重要,是相对来说的主要因素。我国应从开发、发展新能源,替代煤炭能源,提高煤炭利用率,合理调整煤炭产业结构等方面改善煤炭这一不可再生资源的消耗。

China is a large country in terms of coal resources and also the first coal consumption country in the world in the long term. Af- ter selecting some coal consumption demand factors, factors relate to energy consumption standard coal are analyzed by SPSS with conse- quential amendments. Linear regression analysis proves that transportation and industry factors are relatively major factors in coal con- sumption which are more important than the economic development level, income level, industrial development, the rise of people＇s living standards and energy conversion technologies. The government should develop new energy to replace coal energy, improve coal utilization rate, and reasonably adjust the coal industry structure, so as to cut down the consumption of non-renewable coal resources.