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不同稻麦种植模式适应气候变化的效益比较分析 被引量:7

Benefits Comparison Analysis of Different Rice and Wheat Cropping Patterns to Adapt to Climate Change
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摘要 通过调查江苏省全球环境基金项目区农户和专家的投入产出,使用成本效益分析方法和IPCC推荐的温室气体估算方法评估比较了3种种植方式(人工插秧、机械插秧和直播)的水稻在麦稻轮作复种"两晚"模式(水稻晚收,小麦晚播)下的社会、经济和生态效益。结果表明:水稻直播和机械插秧可以节省更多劳动力;农业机械燃油、施用化肥、稻田淹水等农作措施导致了大量人为温室气体排放;水稻种植方式为人工插秧的麦稻轮作模式能取得最优的经济和生态效益;"两晚"模式实施的关键是适时地利用近年来增加的农业气候资源。水稻人工插秧与麦稻"两晚"相配合的种植模式是减缓和适应气候变化的较优选择。 Based on the input-output survey of farmers and experts in one of the Jiangsu GEF project areas, the cost- benefit analysis method and greenhouse gases estimation method recommended by IPCC were applied to evaluate and compare the social, economic and ecological benefits of the artificial transplanting (ATR), mechanical transplanting (MTR) and direct seeding (DSR) rice under wheat-rice Double Late mode (late rice harvest and late wheat sowing). Results show that the MTR and DSR rice achieved obvious social benefits. Farming measures resulted in lots of man-made greenhouse gases emissions. The ATR rice and wheat rotation mode could obtain the best economic and ecological benefits. The Double Late mode has a good application prospect, but the key of implementing is timely exploiting the recently increased available agricultural climate resources. The cropping pattern of combining the wheat-rice Double Late mode with the ATR is a better choice to mitigate and adapt to climate change.
出处 《气候变化研究进展》 CSCD 北大核心 2013年第2期132-138,共7页 Climate Change Research
基金 国家重点基础研究发展计划"华北农业和社会经济对气候灾害的适应能力研究"(2012CB955904) 中英合作项目"中国农业对气候变化脆弱性及适应能力建设"(H5105001) 国家农业综合开发办公室资助项目(2009)"适应气候变化农业开发项目适应措施效果的分析与评估"
关键词 人工插秧 机械插秧 直播 麦稻轮作复种“两晚”模式 适应 产量 效益 温室气体排放 artificial transplanting mechanical transplanting direct seeding wheat-rice rotation multiple croppingDouble Late mode adaptation yield benefit greenhouse gases emissions
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