护士开展护理科研选题的思考:建模与预测

Consideration in Choosing a Subject of Nursing Research for Nurses:Modeling and Forecasting

目的:基于灰色建模预测技术,探索护士开展护理科研选题的途径。方法:根据所研究问题的客观物理特性,定性选用恰当的灰色模型,利用等时距观测数据序列,定量建立灰色预测模型。结果:基于建模预测结果,定性分析所研究问题的发展态势。结论:预测问题的建模工作,必须基于"数学建模"的思想来进行。

Objective： Based on grey modeling and forecasting technique, to search the approach to a sub- ject selection of nursing research for nurses. Methods. According to the objective physical characteristic of problems in question, to qualitatively select an appropriate grey model~ by use of time series observation data with equal interval, to quantitatively determine the selected grey model. Results. Based on the predicting re- sults, to qualitatively analyze the developmental trend of the problem in question. Conclusion. The prediction problems must be modeled based on the concept of ＂mathematical modeling＂.