采用元胞自动机的甲型H1N1流感传播模型研究

Transmission of Influenza a (H1N1) Model of Cellular Automata Adopted for Research

运用复杂系统元胞自动机原理,研究突发传染病事件的演化机理。通过对H1N1流感的特征分析,利用元胞自动机模拟复杂系统的行为演化的特点,建立基于元胞自动机的H1N1流感传播模型,并对甲型H1N1事件进行了模拟仿真。模拟仿真结果与实际基本吻合,加深了对甲型H1N1流感传播规律的了解。

Using the principle of complex system, cellular automata,the present paper studies the evolution of infectious disease emergency mechanism. Through analyzing the characteristics of the H 1N 1 flu, using cellular automata to simulate the behavior of complex systems evolution, the characteristics of H1N1 influenza transmission based on cellular automata model is established, and simulation is carried out on a （H1N1） events. Simulation result in accordance with the actual basic, deepened the understanding of the spread of influenza a （H1N1） rule.