非常规突发事件应急决策冲突消解协调方法

Conflict eliminating coordination method for emergency decision of unconventional outburst incidents

针对应急决策冲突性特点和难以形成高一敛性决策方案的问题,分析应急群体决策冲突产生的原因,构建了应急决策冲突消解协调框架,提出了应急决策群体冲突测度方法,以及应急决策冲突消解模型和方法,形成了非常规突发事件应急决策冲突消解协调机制,使应急群决策冲突逐渐收敛以获得冲突程度足够低的应急决策方案.最后通过算例分析验证了冲突消解协调方法和机制的有效性.

Aiming at the problem for the characteristics of emergency decision making conflict and the difficult forming the decision scheme with high consistency, the causes of conflict generating of emergency group decision making are analyzed by combing the emergency decision problem with decision environment. The coordination framework for conflict eliminating of emergency decision making is constructed. The group conflict measure method for emergency decision making is proposed. The conflict eliminating model and method for emergency decision making are proposed to form the conflict eliminating coordination mechanism for emergency decision making of unconventional outburst incidents, so that the conflicts of emergency group decision making gradually constringe to obtain the emergency decision scheme with enough low conflict degree. Finally, a calculating example validates the effectiveness of the conflict coordination method and mechanism.